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As for the construct of the VIX derivatives, they were teetering on the brink of bearishness as well. The weighted ratio is racing higher too, but not as quickly. One might feel that it is necessary for VIX to break upward over that area in order for it to be truly bearish. VIX on the chart, because an uptrend in VIX is also bearish for stocks. But something has gone amiss, and now new lows are dominating new highs. SPX holds above support at 2400.

Market breadth seems like it is trying to get on the same page as the market and become a relevant indicator once again. The jury is still out on that. These oscillators have been very unstable and have switched back and forth between buy signals and sell signals far too frequently to be trustworthy. But one cannot ignore the indicators. So far, they have proven to be correct. Those are much more important to the market than the media is allowing for. Band, to set up a buy signal. September VIX futures were trading at a discount to VIX, and so were October futures.

There has been a bearish turn in another indicator: new highs vs. One is best to play just the first one and ignore the others, according to our studies. February 2016 correction, which was a nasty correction before a strong bottom was eventually formed. In summary, the market whipsawed up and back down again, taking a lot of traders on both sides out of their positions. Recall that in a true topping formation, the other indicators typically give sell signals first, and the SPX breakdown below support is the last indicator to confirm. But on Monday, Aug. The support at 2437 was taken out, and the prospect of a test of the major support area at 2400 is back on the table. The standard ratio is now racing higher, having reached the highest levels since last December.

The stock market seemed to be under a great deal of pressure on Aug. So, this indicator is bullish once again, indicating that any selloff is just a correction and not a bear market. We saw a strong rally in SPX on Tuesday, but it is merely a reflex rally in what is now a downtrend channel. Volatility continues to be an interesting area of the market. In December, it was on the way down and was on a buy signal. VIX was way too low for way too long.

However, that danger seems to have passed, and the term structure is still sloping slightly upward. Note the blue lines that highlight the lower highs and lower lows of recent activity. You can see from this first chart that the 2400 level has been important since early March, so if it were to be taken out, the entire picture would change to a bearish one. Band would set up a buy signal. Hence, a close below 2400 should be respected as a severely bearish development. This is sometimes the warning sign of a significant top. VXST first closed above all of the other three CBOE Volatility indexes and then fell back below VIX.